2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 7:30 PM · Ross-Ade Stadium
Notre Dame @ Purdue
Predicted scoreLikely
Notre Dame
32.7
Purdue
21.0
Purdue win probability: 23%
Margin (Purdue − Notre Dame): -11.7 (80% range -32 to 9)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Notre Dame 66 – Purdue 7 (margin error 47.3, total error 19.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.