2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 7:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreConfident
Miami (OH)
12.7
Notre Dame
35.9
Notre Dame win probability: 94%
Margin (Notre Dame − Miami (OH)): 23.1 (80% range 4 to 43)
Total: 48.6 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Miami (OH) 3 – Notre Dame 28 (margin error 1.9, total error 17.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 1.00% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.