2024 Postseason · Jan 21, 2025, 12:30 AM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (neutral site)

Ohio State @ Notre Dame

Predicted scoreToss-up

Ohio State

27.2

Notre Dame

25.2

Notre Dame win probability: 45%

Margin (Notre Dame − Ohio State): -2.0 (80% range -22 to 18)

Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Ohio State 34 – Notre Dame 23 (margin error 9.0, total error 4.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.