2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 4:00 PM · MetLife Stadium (neutral site)

Notre Dame @ Navy

Predicted scoreLikely

Notre Dame

30.7

Navy

17.3

Navy win probability: 19%

Margin (Navy − Notre Dame): -13.4 (80% range -33 to 7)

Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 71)

Actual: Notre Dame 51 – Navy 14 (margin error 23.6, total error 17.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.