2024 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2024, 12:30 AM · Notre Dame Stadium

Florida State @ Notre Dame

Predicted scoreConfident

Florida State

14.3

Notre Dame

34.4

Notre Dame win probability: 90%

Margin (Notre Dame − Florida State): 20.1 (80% range 0 to 41)

Total: 48.7 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Florida State 3 – Notre Dame 52 (margin error 28.9, total error 6.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.