Florida State

ACC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	vs Clemson	25.0–32.0	67%
Week 10	@ Boston College	24.2–32.1	69%
Week 11	@ Pittsburgh	29.0–26.5	44%
Week 12	vs NC State	24.0–34.8	75%
Week 13	vs Florida	33.4–30.2	42%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs New Mexico State	17–34	15.0–39.2	7.2
Week 1	vs SMU	27–24	27.3–26.8	2.5
Week 3	@ Alabama	50–36	35.0–16.4	4.6
Week 4	vs Central Arkansas	7–34	—	—
Week 5	vs Virginia	7–38	27.0–27.4	30.6
Week 6	@ Louisville	44–20	30.8–29.3	22.5
Week 7	@ Miami	43–35	36.5–21.0	7.5