Florida State
ACC
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Georgia Tech | 24–21 | 23.0–34.2 | 14.2 |
| Week 1 | vs Boston College | 28–13 | 19.2–36.5 | 32.4 |
| Week 3 | vs Memphis | 20–12 | 25.8–34.0 | 16.2 |
| Week 4 | vs California | 9–14 | 20.8–31.9 | 6.1 |
| Week 5 | @ SMU | 42–16 | 24.6–25.5 | 26.9 |
| Week 6 | vs Clemson | 29–13 | 29.1–24.5 | 11.4 |
| Week 8 | @ Duke | 23–16 | 26.5–24.5 | 5.0 |
| Week 9 | @ Miami | 36–14 | 35.0–22.4 | 9.4 |
| Week 10 | vs North Carolina | 35–11 | 25.5–26.9 | 25.5 |
| Week 11 | @ Notre Dame | 52–3 | 34.4–14.3 | 28.9 |
| Week 14 | vs Florida | 31–11 | 28.5–21.0 | 12.5 |