2024 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2024, 11:30 PM · Doak Campbell Stadium

Boston College @ Florida State

Predicted scoreConfident

Boston College

19.2

Florida State

36.5

Florida State win probability: 86%

Margin (Florida State − Boston College): 17.4 (80% range -3 to 38)

Total: 55.7 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Boston College 28 – Florida State 13 (margin error 32.4, total error 14.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.