2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 11:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium
Florida State @ Miami
Predicted scoreLikely
Florida State
22.4
Miami
35.0
Miami win probability: 78%
Margin (Miami − Florida State): 12.6 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 57.5 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Florida State 14 – Miami 36 (margin error 9.4, total error 7.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.