2024 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2024, 11:00 PM · Wallace Wade Stadium

Florida State @ Duke

Predicted scoreToss-up

Florida State

24.5

Duke

26.5

Duke win probability: 55%

Margin (Duke − Florida State): 2.0 (80% range -18 to 22)

Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Florida State 16 – Duke 23 (margin error 5.0, total error 12.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.