Duke

ACC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Virginia	26.0–25.9	49%
Week 9	vs Boston College	21.5–30.9	72%
Week 10	@ NC State	26.9–29.2	56%
Week 11	@ Miami	35.4–19.5	16%
Week 12	vs Clemson	25.8–28.3	56%
Week 13	@ Wake Forest	33.0–25.2	32%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Tulane	3–17	24.4–30.5	7.9
Week 2	@ Illinois	27–31	29.2–26.9	6.3
Week 3	vs Stanford	7–35	20.4–32.6	15.8
Week 4	vs William & Mary	7–62	—	—
Week 6	@ Georgia Tech	28–25	26.1–30.1	7.0
Week 7	vs North Carolina	24–20	24.1–29.2	9.1