2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Duke @ Wake Forest
Predicted scoreToss-up
Duke
28.9
Wake Forest
27.4
Wake Forest win probability: 46%
Margin (Wake Forest − Duke): -1.5 (80% range -22 to 19)
Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.56% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:12 PM | -1.5 | 56.3 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:07 PM | -1.5 | 56.3 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:30 PM | -1.5 | 56.3 | 46% |