Predicted scoreLean
Tulane
24.5
Duke
30.5
Duke win probability: 65%
Margin (Duke − Tulane): 6.0 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:07 PM | 6.0 | 55.1 | 65% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:16 PM | 6.0 | 55.0 | 65% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:03 PM | 6.0 | 55.0 | 65% |