Predicted scoreToss-up
Clemson
25.8
Duke
28.3
Duke win probability: 56%
Margin (Duke − Clemson): 2.5 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:44 PM | 1.3 | 60.9 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:44 PM | 1.3 | 60.9 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:18 PM | 1.3 | 60.9 | 53% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:33 AM | 1.3 | 60.9 | 53% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:33 PM | 1.2 | 60.9 | 53% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:47 PM | 1.5 | 60.9 | 54% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:49 PM | 5.0 | 58.3 | 62% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:47 PM | 7.0 | 56.6 | 66% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:17 PM | 7.0 | 56.5 | 67% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:29 PM | 7.2 | 56.6 | 67% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:51 PM | 7.2 | 56.6 | 67% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:26 PM | 5.8 | 54.0 | 64% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:13 PM | 6.4 | 55.0 | 65% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:10 PM | 3.9 | 54.3 | 59% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:47 PM | 2.5 | 54.0 | 56% |