2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Wallace Wade Stadium
Boston College @ Duke
Predicted scoreLikely
Boston College
21.5
Duke
30.9
Duke win probability: 72%
Margin (Duke − Boston College): 9.4 (80% range -11 to 30)
Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:57 PM | 10.4 | 59.8 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:06 PM | 10.4 | 59.8 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:15 PM | 10.5 | 59.8 | 73% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:48 AM | 10.4 | 59.8 | 73% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:25 PM | 10.4 | 59.8 | 73% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:44 PM | 12.0 | 58.7 | 77% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:35 PM | 13.2 | 56.6 | 79% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:11 PM | 15.0 | 57.0 | 82% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:49 PM | 14.9 | 57.0 | 82% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:12 PM | 15.2 | 57.1 | 82% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:40 PM | 15.2 | 57.1 | 82% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:41 PM | 13.9 | 52.0 | 81% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:08 PM | 14.8 | 53.3 | 83% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:51 PM | 12.1 | 53.4 | 78% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:25 PM | 9.4 | 52.4 | 72% |