Duke
ACC
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Northwestern | 20–26 | 25.3–26.8 | 4.5 |
| Week 3 | vs UConn | 21–26 | 18.1–32.9 | 9.9 |
| Week 4 | @ Middle Tennessee | 17–45 | 19.8–37.4 | 10.4 |
| Week 5 | vs North Carolina | 20–21 | 24.7–28.9 | 3.2 |
| Week 6 | @ Georgia Tech | 24–14 | 28.1–26.4 | 8.3 |
| Week 8 | vs Florida State | 16–23 | 24.5–26.5 | 5.0 |
| Week 9 | vs SMU | 28–27 | 28.0–23.7 | 3.4 |
| Week 10 | @ Miami | 53–31 | 34.6–24.7 | 12.1 |
| Week 11 | @ NC State | 19–29 | 22.6–26.9 | 5.8 |
| Week 13 | vs Virginia Tech | 28–31 | 23.6–25.4 | 1.2 |
| Week 14 | @ Wake Forest | 17–23 | 25.4–28.1 | 3.2 |
| Week 1 | @ Ole Miss | 52–20 | 32.4–26.9 | 26.6 |