2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 5:00 PM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

Duke @ Wake Forest

Predicted scoreToss-up

Duke

28.1

Wake Forest

25.4

Wake Forest win probability: 43%

Margin (Wake Forest − Duke): -2.8 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Duke 23 – Wake Forest 17 (margin error 3.2, total error 13.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.