2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 1:00 AM · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium (neutral site)

Duke @ Northwestern

Predicted scoreToss-up

Duke

26.8

Northwestern

25.3

Northwestern win probability: 46%

Margin (Northwestern − Duke): -1.5 (80% range -21 to 18)

Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Duke 26 – Northwestern 20 (margin error 4.5, total error 6.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.