Duke
ACC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Illinois | 45–19 | 26.4–28.3 | 27.9 |
| Week 3 | @ Tulane | 34–27 | 28.8–24.9 | 3.1 |
| Week 4 | vs NC State | 33–45 | 27.4–26.9 | 12.5 |
| Week 5 | @ Syracuse | 3–38 | 31.6–28.7 | 37.9 |
| Week 6 | @ California | 21–45 | 25.8–31.9 | 17.9 |
| Week 8 | vs Georgia Tech | 27–18 | 27.8–30.2 | 11.4 |
| Week 10 | @ Clemson | 45–46 | 29.4–27.7 | 2.7 |
| Week 11 | @ UConn | 37–34 | 28.4–34.6 | 9.2 |
| Week 12 | vs Virginia | 34–17 | 26.6–30.4 | 20.8 |
| Week 13 | @ North Carolina | 25–32 | 25.3–31.4 | 1.0 |
| Week 14 | vs Wake Forest | 32–49 | 25.0–30.4 | 11.6 |
| Week 15 | @ Virginia | 20–27 | 27.8–28.9 | 5.9 |
| Week 1 | vs Arizona State | 39–42 | 28.4–24.7 | 6.7 |