2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 8:30 PM · Wallace Wade Stadium
Wake Forest @ Duke
Predicted scoreLean
Wake Forest
25.0
Duke
30.4
Duke win probability: 63%
Margin (Duke − Wake Forest): 5.4 (80% range -15 to 26)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Wake Forest 32 – Duke 49 (margin error 11.6, total error 25.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.