Predicted scoreLikely
Duke
21.1
Miami
36.5
Miami win probability: 83%
Margin (Miami − Duke): 15.5 (80% range -5 to 36)
Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:31 PM | 15.5 | 57.6 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:38 PM | 15.5 | 57.6 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:42 PM | 15.5 | 57.6 | 83% |