Predicted scoreLikely
Stanford
21.6
Duke
32.8
Duke win probability: 76%
Margin (Duke − Stanford): 11.2 (80% range -9 to 32)
Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:33 PM | 11.2 | 54.3 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:42 PM | 11.2 | 54.2 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:12 PM | 11.2 | 54.4 | 76% |