Florida State
ACC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Alabama | 17–31 | 35.0–16.2 | 32.8 |
| Week 4 | vs Kent State | 10–66 | 10.9–43.1 | 23.7 |
| Week 5 | @ Virginia | 46–38 | 27.4–27.8 | 8.4 |
| Week 6 | vs Miami | 28–22 | 32.9–21.5 | 5.4 |
| Week 7 | vs Pittsburgh | 34–31 | 22.0–29.0 | 10.0 |
| Week 8 | @ Stanford | 20–13 | 22.4–32.3 | 16.9 |
| Week 10 | vs Wake Forest | 7–42 | 23.3–29.2 | 29.1 |
| Week 11 | @ Clemson | 24–10 | 29.0–29.2 | 14.2 |
| Week 12 | vs Virginia Tech | 14–34 | 23.4–32.9 | 10.5 |
| Week 13 | @ NC State | 21–11 | 26.7–28.8 | 12.1 |
| Week 14 | @ Florida | 40–21 | 25.1–26.7 | 20.6 |