2025 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2025, 2:30 AM · Stanford Stadium
Florida State @ Stanford
Predicted scoreLikely
Florida State
32.3
Stanford
22.4
Stanford win probability: 27%
Margin (Stanford − Florida State): -9.9 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Florida State 13 – Stanford 20 (margin error 16.9, total error 21.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.