2025 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2025, 12:00 AM · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)

Florida State @ Clemson

Predicted scoreToss-up

Florida State

29.2

Clemson

29.0

Clemson win probability: 49%

Margin (Clemson − Florida State): -0.2 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 58.2 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Florida State 10 – Clemson 24 (margin error 14.2, total error 24.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.