2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 11:30 PM · Doak Campbell Stadium

Wake Forest @ Florida State

Predicted scoreLean

Wake Forest

23.3

Florida State

29.2

Florida State win probability: 64%

Margin (Florida State − Wake Forest): 5.9 (80% range -14 to 26)

Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Wake Forest 7 – Florida State 42 (margin error 29.1, total error 3.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.