Florida State
ACC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs LSU | 24–45 | 29.1–27.2 | 22.8 |
| Week 2 | vs Southern Miss | 13–66 | 16.5–37.1 | 32.4 |
| Week 3 | @ Boston College | 29–31 | 20.9–35.9 | 13.0 |
| Week 4 | @ Clemson | 24–31 | 30.5–26.4 | 11.1 |
| Week 6 | vs Virginia Tech | 17–39 | 23.3–35.0 | 10.2 |
| Week 7 | vs Syracuse | 3–41 | 20.0–37.4 | 20.5 |
| Week 8 | vs Duke | 20–38 | 25.5–31.6 | 11.9 |
| Week 9 | @ Wake Forest | 16–41 | 23.3–35.4 | 12.9 |
| Week 10 | @ Pittsburgh | 7–24 | 19.6–32.7 | 3.9 |
| Week 11 | vs Miami | 20–27 | 21.6–36.9 | 8.3 |
| Week 13 | @ Florida | 15–24 | 27.6–33.2 | 3.5 |
| Week 14 | vs Louisville | 6–16 | 25.8–31.0 | 4.8 |
| Week 1 | vs Georgia | 63–3 | 32.8–22.2 | 49.4 |