2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 7:30 PM · Acrisure Stadium
Florida State @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreLikely
Florida State
32.7
Pittsburgh
19.6
Pittsburgh win probability: 20%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Florida State): -13.1 (80% range -34 to 7)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Florida State 24 – Pittsburgh 7 (margin error 3.9, total error 21.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.