2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)

Florida State @ Clemson

Predicted scoreLean

Florida State

26.4

Clemson

30.5

Clemson win probability: 60%

Margin (Clemson − Florida State): 4.1 (80% range -17 to 25)

Total: 56.9 (80% range 33 to 83)

Actual: Florida State 31 – Clemson 24 (margin error 11.1, total error 1.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.