2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 4:00 PM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

Florida State @ Wake Forest

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida State

35.4

Wake Forest

23.3

Wake Forest win probability: 23%

Margin (Wake Forest − Florida State): -12.1 (80% range -33 to 8)

Total: 58.7 (80% range 34 to 85)

Actual: Florida State 41 – Wake Forest 16 (margin error 12.9, total error 1.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.