2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 7:30 PM · Doak Campbell Stadium

Virginia Tech @ Florida State

Predicted scoreLikely

Virginia Tech

23.3

Florida State

35.0

Florida State win probability: 76%

Margin (Florida State − Virginia Tech): 11.8 (80% range -10 to 33)

Total: 58.3 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Virginia Tech 17 – Florida State 39 (margin error 10.2, total error 2.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.