2023 Week 1 · Sep 3, 2023, 11:30 PM · Camping World Stadium (neutral site)

LSU @ Florida State

Predicted scoreToss-up

LSU

29.1

Florida State

27.2

Florida State win probability: 45%

Margin (Florida State − LSU): -1.8 (80% range -22 to 18)

Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: LSU 24 – Florida State 45 (margin error 22.8, total error 12.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.