2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 4:00 PM · Doak Campbell Stadium

Syracuse @ Florida State

Predicted scoreConfident

Syracuse

20.0

Florida State

37.4

Florida State win probability: 86%

Margin (Florida State − Syracuse): 17.5 (80% range -3 to 39)

Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 82)

Actual: Syracuse 3 – Florida State 41 (margin error 20.5, total error 13.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.