2023 Postseason · Dec 30, 2023, 9:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium (neutral site)

Georgia @ Florida State

Predicted scoreLikely

Georgia

32.8

Florida State

22.2

Florida State win probability: 25%

Margin (Florida State − Georgia): -10.6 (80% range -31 to 10)

Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Georgia 63 – Florida State 3 (margin error 49.4, total error 11.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.