2023 Postseason · Dec 30, 2023, 9:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium (neutral site)
Georgia @ Florida State
Predicted scoreLikely
Georgia
32.8
Florida State
22.2
Florida State win probability: 25%
Margin (Florida State − Georgia): -10.6 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Georgia 63 – Florida State 3 (margin error 49.4, total error 11.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.61% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.