2025 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2025, 12:30 AM · Doak Campbell Stadium

Virginia Tech @ Florida State

Predicted scoreLikely

Virginia Tech

23.4

Florida State

32.9

Florida State win probability: 72%

Margin (Florida State − Virginia Tech): 9.5 (80% range -11 to 31)

Total: 56.4 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Virginia Tech 14 – Florida State 34 (margin error 10.5, total error 8.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.