2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 11:00 PM · Doak Campbell Stadium

Clemson @ Florida State

Predicted scoreLean

Clemson

29.1

Florida State

24.5

Florida State win probability: 39%

Margin (Florida State − Clemson): -4.6 (80% range -25 to 16)

Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Clemson 29 – Florida State 13 (margin error 11.4, total error 11.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.