2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Doak Campbell Stadium
Clemson @ Florida State
Predicted scoreLean
Clemson
25.0
Florida State
32.0
Florida State win probability: 67%
Margin (Florida State − Clemson): 7.0 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 57.0 (80% range 34 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:58 PM | 2.3 | 56.9 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:05 PM | 2.3 | 56.9 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:31 PM | 2.3 | 56.9 | 56% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:48 AM | 2.3 | 56.9 | 56% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:31 PM | 2.4 | 57.0 | 56% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:27 PM | 2.0 | 56.9 | 55% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:22 PM | 5.2 | 56.7 | 63% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:00 PM | 7.1 | 55.4 | 67% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:58 PM | 7.1 | 55.4 | 67% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:06 PM | 7.9 | 55.6 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:35 PM | 7.9 | 55.6 | 69% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:35 PM | 5.4 | 55.5 | 63% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:04 PM | 8.7 | 57.0 | 70% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:45 PM | 6.7 | 56.8 | 66% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:19 PM | 7.0 | 57.0 | 67% |