2026 Week 13 · Nov 27, 2026, 8:30 PM · Doak Campbell Stadium
Florida @ Florida State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida
25.1
Florida State
27.6
Florida State win probability: 56%
Margin (Florida State − Florida): 2.4 (80% range -18 to 22)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:01 PM | 2.4 | 52.7 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:01 PM | 2.4 | 52.7 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:08 PM | 2.4 | 52.7 | 56% |