2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Hard Rock Stadium
Florida State @ Miami
Predicted scoreLikely
Florida State
20.5
Miami
34.2
Miami win probability: 80%
Margin (Miami − Florida State): 13.7 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:33 PM | 13.7 | 54.7 | 80% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:35 PM | 13.7 | 54.7 | 80% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:47 PM | 13.7 | 54.7 | 80% |