2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
Stanford @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreConfident
Stanford
11.3
Notre Dame
38.8
Notre Dame win probability: 97%
Margin (Notre Dame − Stanford): 27.5 (80% range 7 to 48)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 1.04% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.98% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.95% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.92% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.88% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:21 PM | 27.4 | 50.2 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:29 PM | 27.4 | 50.1 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:34 PM | 27.5 | 50.1 | 97% |