2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
Rice @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreConfident
Rice
6.7
Notre Dame
43.5
Notre Dame win probability: 99%
Margin (Notre Dame − Rice): 36.7 (80% range 17 to 58)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38 | 1.60% |
| 0 | 31 | 1.44% |
| 0 | 42 | 1.44% |
| 0 | 45 | 1.42% |
| 0 | 35 | 1.36% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:24 PM | 36.5 | 50.2 | 99% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:27 PM | 37.0 | 50.6 | 99% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:34 PM | 36.7 | 50.2 | 99% |