2026 Week 10 · Nov 8, 2026, 12:30 AM · Notre Dame Stadium
Miami @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreLean
Miami
24.0
Notre Dame
30.1
Notre Dame win probability: 65%
Margin (Notre Dame − Miami): 6.1 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:19 PM | 5.9 | 54.1 | 65% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:25 PM | 6.1 | 54.1 | 65% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:22 PM | 6.1 | 54.1 | 65% |