2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 8:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
Boston College @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreConfident
Boston College
14.4
Notre Dame
40.8
Notre Dame win probability: 95%
Margin (Notre Dame − Boston College): 26.5 (80% range 7 to 47)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 33 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.85% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:33 PM | 26.4 | 55.2 | 95% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:40 PM | 26.5 | 55.2 | 95% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:07 PM | 26.5 | 55.2 | 95% |