2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · JMA Wireless Dome
Notre Dame @ Syracuse
Predicted scoreConfident
Notre Dame
36.6
Syracuse
15.5
Syracuse win probability: 9%
Margin (Syracuse − Notre Dame): -21.1 (80% range -42 to -1)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 7 | 0.80% |
| 38 | 10 | 0.75% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:09 PM | -22.3 | 53.5 | 8% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:03 PM | -22.2 | 53.5 | 8% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:19 PM | -22.3 | 53.5 | 8% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:33 AM | -22.2 | 53.5 | 8% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:00 PM | -22.3 | 53.5 | 8% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:38 PM | -22.1 | 53.2 | 8% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:50 PM | -23.4 | 54.9 | 7% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:14 PM | -24.2 | 51.7 | 6% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:43:15 PM | -24.3 | 51.7 | 6% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:00 PM | -24.0 | 51.7 | 6% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:20 PM | -24.0 | 51.6 | 6% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:51 PM | -21.9 | 49.5 | 8% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:37 PM | -22.2 | 51.1 | 8% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:49 PM | -22.2 | 52.3 | 8% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:57 PM | -21.1 | 52.1 | 9% |