2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Notre Dame @ BYU
Predicted scoreLean
Notre Dame
28.4
BYU
22.0
BYU win probability: 34%
Margin (BYU − Notre Dame): -6.4 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:29 PM | -6.4 | 50.5 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:42 PM | -6.4 | 50.4 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:58 PM | -6.4 | 50.4 | 34% |