2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM · Gillette Stadium (neutral site)
Notre Dame @ Navy
Predicted scoreConfident
Notre Dame
34.4
Navy
16.5
Navy win probability: 12%
Margin (Navy − Notre Dame): -17.9 (80% range -38 to 2)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.89% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.81% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:01 PM | -17.9 | 50.9 | 12% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:09 PM | -17.9 | 50.9 | 12% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:34 PM | -17.9 | 50.9 | 12% |