Northern Illinois
Mountain West
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Wyoming | 40–34 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ South Florida | 48–17 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs San Diego State | 42–28 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Ball State | 24–31 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Western Michigan | 45–30 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Central Michigan | 34–28 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Buffalo | 7–44 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Bowling Green | 20–45 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Toledo | 31–24 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Eastern Michigan | 24–31 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Kent State | 21–31 | — | — |