Northern Illinois
Mountain West
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Boston College | 24–27 | 32.2–25.5 | 9.7 |
| Week 3 | @ Nebraska | 35–11 | 32.8–22.7 | 13.9 |
| Week 4 | vs Tulsa | 22–14 | 31.5–28.6 | 5.0 |
| Week 5 | @ Toledo | 35–33 | 33.0–21.9 | 9.1 |
| Week 6 | @ Akron | 14–55 | 24.8–27.7 | 38.1 |
| Week 7 | vs Ohio | 13–23 | 28.8–23.0 | 15.8 |
| Week 8 | vs Eastern Michigan | 13–20 | 20.1–30.4 | 3.3 |
| Week 10 | @ Central Michigan | 37–31 | 27.7–30.4 | 8.7 |
| Week 11 | vs Ball State | 20–17 | 23.5–31.8 | 11.3 |
| Week 12 | vs Western Michigan | 0–24 | 26.9–29.8 | 21.1 |
| Week 13 | @ Kent State | 27–37 | 22.1–35.8 | 3.7 |
| Week 1 | vs Arkansas State | 19–21 | 32.2–33.4 | 0.8 |