2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 5:00 PM · Dix Stadium
Northern Illinois @ Kent State
Predicted scoreLikely
Northern Illinois
35.8
Kent State
22.1
Kent State win probability: 20%
Margin (Kent State − Northern Illinois): -13.7 (80% range -35 to 7)
Total: 57.9 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Northern Illinois 37 – Kent State 27 (margin error 3.7, total error 6.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 35 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.