2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 4:00 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

Northern Illinois @ Boston College

Predicted scoreLean

Northern Illinois

25.5

Boston College

32.2

Boston College win probability: 65%

Margin (Boston College − Northern Illinois): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 57.7 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Northern Illinois 27 – Boston College 24 (margin error 9.7, total error 6.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.